ESPN’s Mike Tannenbaum proposed that the Lions should offer Cleveland three firsts, a 2026 second and running back Jahmyr Gibbs for Garrett. Roundly and in near unison the rest of the panel ridiculed this asinine suggestion by a seemingly incoherent former GM of the Jets and Dolphins who routinely makes clear his evident lack of general comprehension of topics qualified front office personnel should be well-versed in.

That package should be worth it to the Browns even without the first-round pick in 2027. And that’d still be more than any defensive player has ever been traded for.

It’s important to take into account where a team is expected to be drafting based on their recent history, as organizations attempt to do for assigning value to future picks before the draft order is written in ink. This doesn’t always work perfectly though.

When Khalil Mack was traded in August of 2018, the Raiders opted to deal with the previously 5-11 Bears rather than the 6-10 49ers. This was because San Francisco, after an 0-9 start, traded for Jimmy Garoppolo and finished 6-1; they were seen as an up-and-comer expected to be viable moving forward while Chicago had just drafted Mitch Trubisky and looked adrift.

However, Trubisky had his best season in the NFL in 2018 and the Bears went 12-4; that earned the 24th pick which went to the Raiders. Meanwhile, Garoppolo’s ACL failed in Week 3 and the Niners finished 4-12 and drafted second overall. That pick certainly would’ve been in Oakland as part of the Mack trade, but instead ended up becoming Nick Bosa in San Francisco.

Indeed a package for Garrett should include a current first-round pick, the following draft’s first-round pick, a second-round pick and — in the case of the Lions who project to be drafting late — something else of adequate value.

Jahmyr Gibbs would be a phenomenal addition to the Browns, and it isn’t possible for Andrew Berry’s front office to get that pick wrong since he’s already been drafted.

Those picks could, fairly straightforwardly, be used to improve the team rapidly in a substantial and meaningful way, as I detailed here. Should AB be trusted with all the draft capital that would be associated with this trade? We’ll take a look at that in the next article, right here.

—@PoisonPill4