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Skeptics overlooking Marcus Davenport are in for a big surprise this season
When the Minnesota Vikings signed former New Orleans Saints edge rusher Marcus Davenport to a contract worth up to $13 million, many immediately thought the front office made a mistake. Why offer so much money to a player who only tallied half a sack last season?
In a data-driven world, the numbers just didnāt add up for some. Even though this is general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensahās first time on the job, he wasnāt born yesterday. He understands that measuring a pass-rusherās impact isnāt done just by glancing at their sack total.
There are many other ways a player whose primary goal is to disrupt the quarterback can make their presence felt. One obvious way is by creating pressure. Even though Davenportās effort didnāt lead to big sack numbers, you canāt ignore his ability to wreak havoc.
Marcus Davenport has to be near the top of the league in almost sacks over the past few years pic.twitter.com/HQ5spG9TXW
— Jayden (@JaydenDat) September 28, 2022
Creating pressure can lead to much more than just a sack. They can lead to QBs throwing the ball away or making other errant throws that lead to interceptions. Isnāt that better than a sack?
While a loss of six yards or so via sack is helpful, football is all about winning your individual battles, and Davenport has shown he can do this on a consistent basis.
Davenport šŖšŖšŖ
šŗ: CBS pic.twitter.com/ws3C1zvP1h
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 14, 2021
In fact, thereās a helpful stat called āWin percentageā that measures how often a rusher beats his opponent when locked into a one-on-one matchup. Davenport excelled in this department last season, posting a win rate of 17.6%. This ranked ninth among NFL edge defenders who played 175 or more snaps in 2022, per Pro Football Focus. Hereās another example of Davenport mauling his opponent.
Marcus Davenport with a runway is a bad sign for Zach Wilson. š³ pic.twitter.com/EKCXSdHff9
— Daniel Jeremiah (@MoveTheSticks) December 13, 2021
OK, the 26-year-old has a high win rate, but what happens next? So far, Davenport has turned these āwinsā into a pressure rate that has ranked in the top 20 every year since he was drafted 14th overall. That places the new Vikings pass-rusher in elite company.
Aside from Davenport, Myles Garrett is the only other player to have a pressure rate north of 13% in each of the past five seasons. Stringing together years of strong performances has led to Davenport posting a career pressure rate of 15.1%. This is the fourth-best mark since he arrived in the NFL in 2018.
Marcus Davenport has recorded a 15.1% pressure rate since entering the league in 2018, 4th-highest in the NFL (min. 1,000 pass rushes).
Davenport should provide an upgrade to a Vikings pass rush which generated the 8th-lowest pressure rate (25.8%) last season.#Skol https://t.co/DFeQN0YHce pic.twitter.com/S5Ul4Qkjed
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) March 14, 2023
Hereās another Davenport highlight to keep you salivating. Keep your eye on the left guard (No. 64).
Marcus Davenport SAT. HIM. DOWN. pic.twitter.com/3OoB9zTyjo
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) September 10, 2019
Davenport has multiple examples where he overpowers his opponent. This is a 6-foot-6, 265-pound athletic freak with 4.58 speed.Ā Thatās roughly the same quickness as āCreate-A-Playerā Danielle Hunter, who clocked a 4.57 time in the 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. Yet, as weāve seen, the UTSA product isnāt just some Combine wizard who performs well in drills. Davenport’s closing speed translates to the field.
Search: Does Marcus Davenport belong in the NFL?
Result: š pic.twitter.com/I3lTwYDOMP
— UTSA Football š (@UTSAFTBL) September 30, 2018
Itās not just Davenportās athleticism that catches blockers off-guard. His 33 ā ā long arms routinely give linemen trouble because not only does he have length, he also has the strength to pack an extremely effective bull rush.
Good lord, Marcus Davenport pic.twitter.com/XzOwRWEqJF
— Luke Johnson (@ByLukeJohnson) November 16, 2020
Aside from compiling nine sacks in 2021, Davenportās raw numbers arenāt impressive. Thatās easy for anyone to see. But saying the 26-year-old isnāt a good pass rusher just isnāt true.
He wins with speed, runs through opponents, and has a motor that seemingly never stops. Davenport hasnāt always gotten the chances youād expect from a former top pick. Heās never played more than 64% of his teamās defensive snaps. However, heās also had to share a depth chart with an All-Pro in Cameron Jordan, plus Pro Bowl edge rusher Trey Hendrickson to name a few.
Despite experiencing various injuries preventing him from playing more than 14 regular season games in one year, you canāt question Davenport’s dedication. The film shows that, and the stories back it up.
Football enthusiasts probably know the tale of Hall of Fame 49ers safety Ronnie Lott amputating part of his finger so he could quickly return to the field. Well, Davenport has a similar experience. He actually had part of his left pinky cut off so he could be back in time for the start of the 2022 season. Thatās a whole new level of commitment to the game.
Another major weakness in Minnesota since 2019 has been an inability to stop the run, which in some cases, has been due to failing to set the edge. Davenport has often displayed a high football IQ that, when paired with his athletic abilities, makes him an interesting case study.
"Setting the edge is easy" — Marcus Davenport, I assume pic.twitter.com/HG2ew0tqxC
— Robert Schmitz (@robertkschmitz) December 28, 2022
One other unique aspect, and maybe youāve already noticed from the clips above, is that Davenport can be effective from multiple stances. As the Vikings move forward with season two in their 3-4 defensive scheme, keeping opponents on their toes with Davenportās pre-snap alignment will be fun. It doesn’t seem to matter whether he has his hands in the dirt or opts to stand up and rush. Davenport has shown he can make an impact no matter what.
#Saints DE Marcus Davenport's 9 sacks in 2021… 2 power rushes, 2 spin move counters off his power rush, 3 coverage/clean up sacks, 1 came unblocked and 1 from a stunt.
I really liked the flashes I saw from Davenport, he could win in multiple ways and had counter moves ready. pic.twitter.com/kGjyUYtoM8
— Jordan Pun (@Texans_Thoughts) March 14, 2022
Perhaps the next question is, how much of a difference can Davenport make? We know what Hunter is capable of, and if some advanced stats show Davenport can be just as effective as his new pass-rush partner, whatās the ceiling for this Vikings sack tandem?
The truth about Marcus Davenport and his Pro Bowl potential
If Davenport can stay on the field for more than 14 games, thereās a strong chance he can have a Pro Bowl season. Davenport has only been a full-time player once in his five NFL seasons, with a career-high 13 starts in his second year as a pro.
In that time, Davenportās career-high in snaps has topped out at 532 for a single year. Hunter has had just two seasons with 600 or fewer snaps, for comparison’s sake. Now at the age of 26, entering his sixth NFL season, Davenport has all the tools to turn in a career year.
Youāve seen the clips showing what heās capable of. The tape doesnāt lie. The numbers show he has no trouble causing plenty of pressure, so what does Davenport need to do to earn a Pro Bowl nod?
First, he needs to turn those pressures into sacks, finishing with a slightly better season than when he had nine sacks in just 11 games in 2021. Hunter made his third Pro Bowl appearance last season after recording 10.5 sacks and a forced fumble to go with 65 tackles. These numbers arenāt out of reach for Davenport either, but targeting 12 sacks is probably a safer milestone if the Pro Bowl is on tap.
Davenportās pass-rush win rate has never been lower than 13%, placing him in a pressure-heavy environment coordinated by Brian Flores with blitzers flying in from every angle should only help the former Saintās numbers improve. If Davenportās sack numbers increase to double digits, heāll automatically receive several Pro Bowl votes.
But if he can take things one step further, maintaining consistency as a run-stopper while generating pressure in passing situations, we could even be looking at a future All-Pro. Already ranking 16th in run defense among edge defenders since becoming a first-round pick, thereās reason to believe he can help the Vikings in both facets of the game.
#Saints rookie Marcus Davenport… What we call ābackside pursuit.ā pic.twitter.com/zeagv3aJjt
— Ben Fennell (@BenFennell_NFL) September 11, 2018
That is a very impressive motor for a player of Davenport’s size. Watch how 92 stays locked in the entire time, cutting through traffic in ball pursuit. Defensive linemen are not supposed to have sideline-to-sideline speed or anything close.
Coach Flores will do his job, causing opponents to think twice when faced with so much pre-snap confusion combined with blitzes that never seem to end. Now finally in a position to be a full-time starter, itās hard to imagine Davenport not having a career year in the North Star State.
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