Contributors: Corey Eckenroth/Jeff Hartman/Dave Schofield

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The Pittsburgh Steelers have officially put the League on notice Sunday night vs the New York Jets. Coming into the game at 3-2, there were definitely some questions regarding their ability to move the ball on the Jets talented defense, especially when Coach Tomlin decided to make the move to Russell Wilson as the starting QB.

When I say there were questions, I’ll (Corey) be the first to admit that I was the one asking a LOT of them, and now this week I have so many Humble Pie and Crow leftovers that I feel sick, but hey, that’s what I deserve for questioning those who are way better than me at their job. Not only do I have a bunch of leftovers, but I missed my parlay in the most painstaking way possible.

Review

Corey – I knew the Jets defense would be tough, and I wasn’t sure how Russell Wilson would respond in his first start of the year. I also knew that the Steelers were going to pound the rock if they were going to have a chance to win the game. In the Staff Pick article, I picked the Steelers to fall short to the Jets by a score of 23-19, and the parlay I built followed that line of thinking. If you remember, the theme of last week was “legs”, and it turns out, it most definitely was the “legs” that made a difference in this parlay.

I was extremely close to hitting this parlay, as the only reason it failed was because I was celebrating the missed field goal by Greg Zuerlein when I should have been frustrated. That missed field goal is what kept the 3rd leg of the parlay, and the total parlay, from hitting. Danny Smith has created a lot of frustration for not only me, but other Steelers fans as well over the years, and even though he and his squad had a heck of a game, it cost me… quite literally.

I guess I’ll just go take it out on a Lenny Dykstra worthy bubble gum wad. Maybe Danny Smith is onto something there…

• Najee Harris +60 Yards Rushing (+110) – HIT
• Chris Boswell Field Goals OVER 1.5 (-115) – HIT
• Each Team to score 1+ Touchdown and 1+ Field Goal (-170) – MISSED, just like Zuerlein did
  
  Total 3-Leg Odds: +375 ($10 pays $47.50)

Jeff – Last week my parlay hit, for just the second time this season. However, I feel like as the season progresses I’m getting better at picking my spots. Nonetheless, let’s get to the winning parlay last week,

Here was my parlay from last week:

• PIT Total Points: 16.5+ HIT
• Najee Harris Yards: 60+ HIT
• Chris Boswell FGs: 1.5+ HIT
  

Winner winner, chicken dinner.

Dave – Batting 1.000, whether it’s official or unofficial.

• PIT on the Moneyline: (+114) HIT
• PIT Total Points: 19.5+ (-102) HIT
• NYJ Total Points: UNDER 17.5 (+114) HIT

Total Odds: +335

I know mine where the top odds, but the three picks complimented each other nicely.

The Picks

Corey – The Pittsburgh Steelers are finding their offense on the fly, with two consecutive games of 30+ points. These two consecutive 30 point outbursts look like the type to be more sustainable than the two successive 30 point contests the Steelers won last year with Mason Rudolph at the helm. You’d have to go all the way back to October 2020 with Big Ben at the helm to find another two games that the Steelers scored 30+ points in a row.

Now comes to town a New York Giants squad that is 2-5 and at the bottom of the NFC East after getting absolutely torched by the Philadelphia Eagles. Their offense has been anemic led by Daniel ‘Danny Dimes’ Jones, ranking near the bottom of most offensive team rankings, scoring a total of 99 points in their 7 games so far (14.1pts/gm). It’s an offense that makes Matt Canada look like a world beater, and that is a pretty damning statement around these parts. I look for the Steelers defense to feast again and make life hard for Jones and company.

The New York defense is mid-pack, averaged by their Passing Defense (#9 – 1256yds total, 179yds/gm) and their Rushing Defense (#27 – 967yds total, 138yds/gm). The Rush Defense numbers took a massive hit this past weekend as Saquon Barkley ran all over the Giants for 176 yards. Those rankings look similar to the Jets defense the Steelers have just faced, but the Giants defense isn’t quite stacked with talent like the Jets defense is. I look for the Steelers to continue a lot of the same offensive game plan that they implemented against the Jets, and that the Eagles have just proven to be successful. Najee and Warren are going to EAT.

The last time the Steelers lost at home on Monday Night Football? Against these very same New York Giants, ALLLLL the way back in October of 1991. In any case, I don’t see the Steelers MNF Home streak coming to an end this week. It seems like this record is destined to stand for a very long time, or at least as long as Coach Tomlin is prowling the sidelines.

In the Team Props section, the lines for “TEAM TOTAL POINTS” has the Giants UNDER 14.5pts (-110), and OVER at 15.5 (+100), which means that DK thinks the Giants are going to score 15 points. On the other side of it, the Steelers are getting UNDER 21.5pts (-115) and the OVER at 22.5pts (+105), so DK is guessing 22 points for the Steelers. A final score of PIT 22, NYG 15 fits into the TOTAL POINTS OVER of the 36.5 points currently offered.

I’m feeling very confident and like the Steelers to continue to score points against a poor rushing defense. The NY offensive line right now isn’t blocking very well, and allowed 8 sacks last week in a loss to Philadelphia. It just feels like that kind of game that the Steelers can dominate on both sides of the ball, win comfortably, and yet not have a blowout win on the scoreboard.

• Total Points OVER 36.5pts (-108)
• ALTERNATE Spread PIT +11.5pts (+198)
• Najee Harris Anytime TD Scorer (+110)

Total Parlay Odds: +600

Winning Bet of $10 = $70.00

*** BONUS LEG (Single Bet) ***

These are two teams heading in completely different directions. The Giants ship is listing, and getting ready to sink. The Steelers seem to be hitting their stride at just the right time. I can see a scenario where TJ Watt completely WRECKS this game for the New York Giants offensive line. He could bust out for 3 to 4 sacks, a Forced Fumble, an INT, a Safety, and for S&G’s, let’s throw in a defensive touchdown, and do all of that by himself. And that’s IF the Giants let Danny Dimes continue taking a beating and don’t replace him at halftime. You want a homerun that looks tempting? Here it is:

• TJ Watt to have 1+ Sack in Each Half (+650)

Winning Bet of $10 = $75.00

Jeff – This week’s parlay…which I have a good feeling about. Let’s make it two in a row!:

• Najee Harris Rushing Yards: 70+ (+130)
• Russell Wilson Passing Yards: 200+ (-115)
• Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards: 40+ (+130)

Total Odds: +850

Winning Bet of $10 = $95.00

I think the Steelers have a good offensive game, even vs. the stout Giants defense. On top of that, I see them doing so with the running game and utilizing Freiermuth like they did George Pickens last week. Let’s hope my gut reaction plays out, and pays out.

Dave – Jeff almost took one of my lines (but I’m showing a little more courage). I also have no idea where he’s getting his lines from as that parlay is nowhere close to +850. This week’s parlay:

• George Pickens Receiving Yards: 70+ (+125)
• Russell Wilson Passing Yards: 225+ (+160)
• PIT total points: Over 23.5 (+142)

Total Odds: +575

Winning Bet of $10 = $67.50

If you are wondering why my parlay doesn’t have as good of odds as Jeff is because of using the over point total doesn’t compound as much. But if you wanted to add Either the Harris at 70+ OR Freiermuth at 40+ to my bet, it would jump up to +1100. Almost twice the payout for one of those choices I think could be worth it.

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