Earlier this month on The Steelers Fix podcast, Jeremy Betz and I made ideal over/under props for multiple different statistics for the Steelers offense in 2024. We are going to expound on that today, specifically at running back; but first, make sure you listen to this week’s episode of our show in the player below this article!

We have already taken care of passing and receiving predictions in previous articles, but perhaps the most intriguing position is running back. The Steelers are expected to have a true committee in 2024, as Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris will take the majority of the reps and Cordarrelle Patterson will be used in a more versatile, gimmicky role.

As always, be sure to share your stat predictions for these players in the comment section below.

Najee Harris

Carries: 215
Rushing Yards: 968
Yards Per Carry: 4.5
Touchdowns: 8

I would like to think the Steelers will have two 1,000-yard rushers, but while it is definitely within reach, I am not sure Najee will see enough carries to get there. Harris has proven to be able to handle a large workload, but efficiency has not been his calling card, albeit running behind a subpar offensive line during his career. I think his efficiency improves with a more physical offensive line, but I expect carries to be split a little more evenly this season between Harris and Jaylen Warren.

Jaylen Warren

Carries: 190
Rushing Yards: 1,013
Yards Per Carry: 5.3
Touchdowns: 5

Warren has a true chance to cement his status as a top-20 NFL running back in 2024, and if his efficiency remains high with a larger workload, it will only confirm such a claim. I believe his burst to and through the hole gives him the upper hand against Najee as it pertains to reaching 1,000 yards this season, and he could easily lead this Steelers team in overall touches in 2024.

Russell Wilson

Carries: 65
Rushing Yards: 291
Yards Per Carry: 4.5
Touchdowns: 1

Despite his age, Russell Wilson still loves to scramble, and, while he may not be as dangerous as he was running the football 8 years ago, he will still provide a spark in that area. Predicting 65 carries is honestly a low estimation for Wilson, especially when adding in the times he is brought down in the backfield throughout the season.

Cordarrelle Patterson

Carries: 32
Rushing Yards: 121
Yards Per Carry: 3.8
Touchdowns: 1

Patterson still mustered 50 carries despite playing behind both Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson, so I definitely expect him to have a role. With age, however, I do not see him getting as many looks with the Steelers as he did with the Falcons, considering the top two Steelers backs who are both in the prime of their careers. He is a nice gadget player to have, but I do not see him as a player with a defined weekly role.

Justin Fields

Carries: 13
Rushing Yards: 103
Yards Per Carry: 6.4
Touchdowns: 2

In the one game I predict Fields to start during the season, I expect to see a couple big runs, but I also think we see a couple designed runs for him throughout the season.

Connor Heyward

Carries: 20
Rushing Yards: 56
Yards Per Carry: 2.8
Touchdowns: 2

The numbers may not look that big, but I believe Heyward will take on a role in short-yardage situations. I think he will be used more like a prototypical fullback in 2024 and see significant work on 3rd and Short or 4th and Short.